Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.296102 1.585199 1.959008 2.494171 3.270799 4.411885 6.339604
2026-01-18 0.905312 1.209244 1.661953 2.438823 3.878866 6.845570 15.327887
2026-01-25 0.727951 1.029005 1.522094 2.488846 4.686257 11.044968 49.742216
2026-02-01 0.627367 0.925759 1.452227 2.606697 5.783344 19.343402 439.348002
2026-02-08 0.543758 0.825813 1.349524 2.595068 6.586162 31.575473 NaN
2026-02-15 0.475087 0.735952 1.237944 2.504555 7.078561 48.531573 NaN
2026-02-22 0.437551 0.694256 1.210450 2.615127 8.598892 115.327476 NaN
2026-03-01 0.400239 0.645989 1.156122 2.625302 9.785975 300.469926 NaN
2026-03-08 0.364170 0.594474 1.082859 2.545505 10.416502 842.438951 NaN
2026-03-15 0.336563 0.555798 1.031034 2.514114 11.426838 9153.564797 NaN
2026-03-22 0.325824 0.549342 1.053598 2.753765 15.581586 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.311549 0.533446 1.049370 2.897755 19.947563 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.292553 0.505727 1.010805 2.892365 22.895096 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.272459 0.473592 0.955378 2.791988 24.138970 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.259588 0.455848 0.935653 2.846605 29.507704 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.250439 0.445259 0.933597 2.988809 40.138896 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.237995 0.425927 0.903351 2.974377 46.866767 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.224428 0.402833 0.858794 2.864182 48.778072 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.217793 0.395046 0.857944 2.998776 69.939816 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.209013 0.381443 0.837483 3.011188 87.279658 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.198767 0.363589 0.801620 2.913959 92.511274 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.190493 0.349807 0.776634 2.875787 107.556821 NaN NaN
2026-06-14 0.188702 0.351287 0.799589 3.168286 250.641242 NaN NaN